While sources vary, an estimated 130,000 British citizens currently live and work in the Gulf Cooperation Council states. Many of these will observe and indeed vote in their home country’s general election, which is widely expected to take place later this year.

Like their compatriots, a variety of factors will ultimately determine for which party they will cast their vote, including the ongoing Gaza crisis.

Writing for the UAE’s Khaleej Times, InStrat’s Adam Dempsey nevertheless explains why Gaza is unlikely to significantly impact the outcome of the UK’s next general election.

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